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The "Probability" Doctrine was a House Military text.

The doctrine stated that it was important to understand the difference between coincidence and actions by the enemy. Believing all coincidences were actually enemy actions could lead to paranoia, believing they were unconnected might cause the enemy to be underestimated.

After the first wave of "You" Diversions, the Doctrine became standard military canon. (PROSE: The Book of the War)

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